A dynamic start to the race
At the 1:00 PM race start, winds on Sydney Harbour are forecast to reach 15 knots, increasing to 18-20 knots as yachts head into open waters. Northerly winds will strengthen steadily, with speeds of 20-30 knots predicted by this afternoon, escalating to 35 knots along the south coast of New South Wales by evening. These conditions come with strong wind and gale warnings, promising a challenging initial leg.
Abrupt changes ahead
A west-southwesterly change is set to sweep through Bass Strait in the early hours of Friday, bringing a sudden and intense shift in conditions. Sailors will need to prepare for winds of 20-35 knots, with the potential for gusts exceeding gale force. Showers and isolated thunderstorms may accompany this front, adding further complexity to navigation and strategy.
Tackling bass strait and beyond
The notorious Bass Strait will live up to its reputation, with strong winds and significant wave heights of up to 3.5 metres expected overnight. Conditions will remain gusty along Tasmania’s southeast coast, particularly south of Tasman Island. Variable winds influenced by Tasmania’s landforms will pose additional challenges, especially between St Helens and Maria Island, where lighter winds may create tricky tactical decisions.
A challenging weekend forecast
As the weekend progresses, competitors will face continued variability in wind patterns, with troughs and cold fronts bringing shifts between northwest and southwesterly flows. Tasmania’s east coast may experience periods of reduced visibility due to low cloud and light rain, while the possibility of thunderstorms looms over the coastal waters.
Navigating currents and temperatures
Favourable southward currents along the New South Wales coast have shifted slightly westward. Competitors venturing into waters with temperatures below 21°C will find themselves outside this current, adding another layer of complexity to race strategy.
Race-ready advice
Gabriel Woodhouse’s advice to the fleet was clear: “It’s going to be a tricky forecast, with a mix of strong winds, abrupt changes, and variable conditions along Tasmania’s east coast. Best of luck, and have a safe but fast race.”
The 79th Rolex Sydney to Hobart Yacht Race promises to test even the most seasoned sailors. With conditions ranging from fast northerlies to sudden southerlies, and with Tasmania’s eastern shores adding an unpredictable twist, this year’s race is shaping up to be one for the history books. Best of luck to all competitors as they take on this iconic challenge.
